Admin-based household estimates for local authorities in England and Wales: 2021 to 2023
This publication contains official statistics in development, produced to support comparison with existing official household estimates, and should not be used for decision-making. Further information on official household estimates for England and Wales is available in our Household estimates and projections across the UK user guide.
Annual Population Survey quality update: September 2026
On 15 September, we published a methodology article explaining longer-term challenges and recent operational and strategic changes affecting the Annual Population Survey (APS) data collection, and what these mean for quality and use.
The APS remains an important source of local labour market and socio-economic statistics, but users should take extra care when analysing small areas, small population groups and detailed breakdowns because the sample is smaller than in the past. We will continue to monitor quality, publish guidance with APS outputs and carry out further analysis where statistics or user groups may be more affected.
Local government users are encouraged to complete the APS Citizen Space feedback exercise by 2 October.
Births in England and Wales: 2025 (final rates)Following the provisional birth rates released in May using ONS population projections, we have published final fertility rates for 2025 using mid-year population estimates, including rates for lower geographies. The datasets include breakdowns by characteristics of the child and the parents, the area of usual residence and Index of Multiple Deprivation for England and Wales.
Mid-year population estimates and re-scaled projections for local authorities in EnglandOn 27 August, we released user-requested data on population projections for local authorities (LAs) in England by sex and single year of age from 2025 to 2050. The latest mid-year population estimates are the basis upon which age and sex changes from the 2024-based national population projections (NPPs) are applied. These data give a better link between the latest population estimates and the newest trends in NPPs than is available from the 2022-based subnational population projections (SNPPs). They apply national trends to each LA and do not use historic LA trends so they are useful for indicating how populations may change if national trends continue. For long-term local planning, we recommend using the 2022-based SNPPs. The next release of SNPPs is planned to be in the second half of 2028. There will not be a 2024-based release.
Long-Term International Migration: publication dateOur next Long-term international migration (LTIM) publication is scheduled for 26 November 2026. It will include provisional estimates up to the end of June 2026. Provisional estimates for December 2024, June 2025 and December 2025 will be updated as more data become available.
Migration Statistics User ForumRegister now for the annual Migration Statistics User Forum (MSUF) on 10 December. This virtual interactive event is a chance to hear from producers of international migration statistics and follows the next release of long-term international migration estimates. When registering, please vote for the two themes you would most like to discuss.
UK armed forces veterans, England and Wales: 2024 and 2025Earlier this year, we gathered feedback on UK armed forces veterans statistics for England and Wales. Respondents said they use the publication to support research, publications and evidence-based decision-making. Improvements to the 2024 and 2025 estimates include improved data quality through strengthening the population spine, a regular and reserve service breakdown for 2025, more information on methods, quality and limitations, and comparisons over time to show how the veteran population is changing. For publications beyond 2025, we will explore further demographic and service-related breakdowns. Our estimates for 2024 and 2025 won 13 October. Our estimates for 2024 and 2025 will be published on 13 October.
Appointment of the UK’s National StatisticianWe are pleased to confirm that André Loranger has been appointed as the UK’s National Statistician and Head of the Government Statistical Service across the four nations. André will provide leadership across the UK statistical system, championing trustworthy, high-quality official statistics that serve the public good.
WebinarsJoin the Internal Migration Estimates for England and Wales webinar on 30 September. Internal migration is the biggest driver of population change for many areas. The webinar will cover current methods, and our improvement plans for internal migration estimates. We will also host a Births and Deaths in England and Wales webinar on 15 October, looking at how these statistics support population estimates and how they are being improved.
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